Welcome to Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 12/30! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
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More or Less 2/2 – Atlanta Hawks/Orlando Magic
The Atlanta Hawks will be without Trae Young tonight, leaving John Collins to take over the offense. Collins played without Young in his last game, scoring 34 points in 33 minutes against the Chicago Bulls. He saw 26 shot attempts, 6 three-point attempts, and 4 free throw attempts in those games. Since returning from suspension, Collins has played 30+ minutes in 2 of his 3 games. He scored 34 and 27 points in those games. Collins gets a tough matchup against the Orlando Magic, who feature a solid defense and love slowing their games down. While the matchup is far less than ideal, Collins will likely see 20+ shot attempts once again tonight. This total is set too low for the new focal point of the offense.
Nikola Vucevic has been playing well recently. He’s averaging 20.3 points on 17.3 shot attempts, 5.5 three-point attempts, and 3.5 free throw attempts per game over the last 10 days. He’s averaging 32.0 minutes per game over that span. Vucevic has also been significantly better at home this season. Through 11 games in Orlando, he’s shooting 52% from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc. Those numbers are significantly better than his roads splits this season. Vucevic gets an elite matchup against Atlanta, who features one of the worst defenses in the NBA, while also pushing the pace in their games. Vucevic shot only 36.8% from the field in their first game without hitting any three-pointers, but still scored 16 points. I expect a more efficient game tonight, allowing him to score 20+ points.
Play 1 unit on John Collins OVER 20.5 points and Nikola Vucevic OVER 19.5 to win 3 units (3x)
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NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.
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