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Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 1/9/19

Glass Cleaner – Milwaukee Bucks/Houston Rockets

I wasn’t looking for rebounding props tonight, but this one is simply a bit too low for the players involved. Clint Capela is an elite rebounding center, averaging 14.2 rebounds per game over the last 10 days. He also has recorded 19+ rebounds in five of his last eight games, and he’s averaging 17.0 rebounds per game over that span. The Milwaukee Bucks have stopped centers from posting big rebounding numbers, but Capela simply is too good of a rebounder to struggle, even in a tough matchup. While Milwaukee has performed well against centers, they rank last in the NBA in rebounds allowed (6.9) per game to shooting guards. James Harden is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game over the last 10 days, and he has recorded 9+ rebounds in three of his last five games. Capela and Harden have the potential to record 30+ rebounds by themselves in the right situation. Giannis Antetokounmpo is another player, who comes with elite rebounding potential. He has recorded 8+ rebounds in 35 of 37 games this season. He also owns 15+ rebounds in 12 games this season. With each player coming with double-digit rebounding potential, this total is a bit low, specifically with Capela and Antetokounmpo featuring 20+ rebounding potential.

Play $50 on Clint Capela, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and James Harden OVER 35.5 rebounds to win $100 (2x)

 

Over Under 2/2 – Atlanta Hawks/Brooklyn Nets

D’Angelo Russell is coming off of a bad game against the Boston Celtics, but he had caught fire before that. In his four games prior to that, Russell averaged 26.5 points per game. Russell is expected to return to 30+ minutes tonight, and he’ll play a massive role in the Brooklyn Nets offense. The Atlanta Hawks feature one of the worst defensive backcourts in the NBA, as they rank in the bottom-three of the NBA in points allowed to point guards and shooting guards. The two positions are combining to average 49.9 points per game against Atlanta. In his only matchup against Atlanta, Russell scored 32 points in only 29.2 minutes. Trae Young was a bit more difficult to predict. He’s averaging 15.5 points per game over the last 10 days, and he’s averaging the exact same number per game on the season. Young has scored 16+ points in six of his last eight games, though. He has also played 30+ minutes in six of his last seven games. Young has been looking for his shot a bit more recently, and he is a player that can easily top 16 points if he finds any success.

Play $50 on D’Angelo Russell OVER 19.5 points and Trae Young OVER 15.5 points to win $109 (2.18x)

 

Over/Under 2/2 – San Antonio Spurs/Memphis Grizzlies

This play overall is a bit difficult, but the odds were simply too good to pass up. Marc Gasol isn’t been looking for his shot this season, and he’s averaging only 11.0 points per game over the last 10 days. He has scored 16+ points in only two of his last 10 games, and he’s averaging only 13.0 points per game against the San Antonio Spurs this season. The Spurs also rank second in the NBA in points allowed (19.6) per game to centers this season. Gasol will likely play a passive role in the offense once again tonight, leading him to score limited points once again. Bryn Forbes was a bit more difficult, but he has found success recently, averaging 13.4 points per game over the last 10 days. Forbes has also scored 13+ points in seven of his last 10 games. He’s averaging only 6.5 points per game against the Memphis Grizzlies this season, but shooting guard is a position that can attack the Memphis defense. The Grizzlies rank in the bottom-10 of the NBA in points allowed (23.1) per game to shooting guards this season. Forbes should see 30+ minutes tonight, and he has found plenty of success in the offense when given the playing time this season.

Play $50 on Marc Gasol UNDER 15.5 points and Bryn Forbes OVER 12.5 points to win $120.50 (2.41x)

 

Follow Justin on Twitter (@BalesSJustin)

 

NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.

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