We picked up another win in our last article on Friday. Logan Gilbert and Dane Dunning both looked outstanding as they both found the overs on their strikeout props. That was an MLB play on Monkey Knife Fight, and we’re going back to the well tonight. Generally, I use pitching, specifically strikeout, props for these, but we’re switching it up a bit for this article today. Below, I’ll outline my favorite play in the Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals game.
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Prop Pick – Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals
Daniel Lynch over 5.5 hits allowed
This is an interesting number because it’s high for basically any starting pitcher. Lynch’s struggled throughout the entire season, yet he’s only allowed 6+ hits in 3 of his 9 starts. With that being said, he’s given up 9 and 7 hits in his last 2 starts.
The biggest issue is that Lynch needs to give up enough hits over roughly 5 innings, but he can’t get hit too hard early, or else he could get pulled before he’s given up the number.
Lynch gets a tough matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays, who feature the best offense in the MLB over the last 14 days. They’re expected to use 8 right-handed batters throughout the lineup, and Lynch is giving up a .278 average to righties this season.
I’m expecting Toronto to get to him early and often, and I don’t believe the Royals are going to want to pull him prior to completing a few innings in this game.
There’s an added bonus that Lynch’s over is currently sitting at -145 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Bo Bichette over 1.5 total bases
Bichette’s seen plenty of ups and downs throughout the 2022 season, posting a .252 average through 53 games. He also boasts a .423 slugging percentage and .720 OPS this season.
Bichette’s recorded 2+ total bases in 8 of his last 11 games. He’s also hit that number in 2 of his last 3 contests.
Granted, Bichette is a better hitter at home, he’s still a high-upside option on the road. Surprisingly, he’s struggled against left-handed pitching throughout the season, but he posted a ridiculous .340 average against lefties last season. I don’t expect his struggles to continue for much longer, specifically against a weak pitcher like Lynch.
Similar to Lynch, though, Bichette’s over currently sits at -150 on DraftKings. If Lynch gives up 6+ hits, Bichette will be in a great spot, and this is a solid way to pair these two plays together.
Bet Daniel Lynch “more than” 5.5 hits allowed and Bo Bichette “more than” 1.5 total bases to 3x your buy-in
