Welcome to another edition of Bales’ Top GPP Play. In this article, I will outline my favorite MLB GPP play for today’s games. If you want all of my core plays along with our staff’s Final Thoughts articles with access to our Discord, click here.
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Huascar Ynoa
Ynoa struggled quite a bit for the Atlanta Braves in 2020. He didn’t record a win or loss, posting a 5.82 ERA, and a 1.66 WHIP over 9 games (5 starts). He also struggled with a 5.39 xFIP and a 5.38 SIERA. Ynoa only posted a 17% strikeout rate in 2020, although he boasted an 11.1% swinging-strike rate. He did hold his opponents to a 5.9% barrel rate. Throughout his short career, Ynoa’s been significantly better at home, where his xFIP dips to 3.49 and his strikeout rate increases to 26%. He’s also dominant against right-handed batters, recording a 3.16 xFIP and a 27.2% strikeout rate against them.
Ynoa gets a great matchup against the Chicago Cubs tonight. They lead the slate in strikeouts per at-bat while featuring a below-average offense in team wOBA. Ynoa’s a -125 favorite in a game set at 8.5 runs, giving the Cubs an implied team total of 4.1 runs. He’s performed better this season, as he owns a 2.86 xFIP and a 29.8% strikeout rate thus far. Most importantly, Ynoa’s recorded 21.7 and 29.1 fantasy points in his 2 home starts this season. He’s likely to garner some ownership tonight, although it could be similar to Ian Anderson last night, making him an outstanding tournament option.
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