Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Pittsburgh Pirates
Trevor Williams (+115)
Trevor Williams continues to throw a high level, recording a 6-3 record with a 1.42 ERA over his last 10 starts. He has held his opponents to two or fewer earned runs in each of his last nine starts, as well, while holding them to one or fewer earned runs in eight of those games. Williams has struggled at times against the St. Louis Cardinals this season, but he has held them to only two runs over his last 11 innings against them. They are also only 3-3 over the last week of play, while struggling at home this season. The Pittsburgh Pirates, on the other hand, is 5-0 in their last five games. Pittsburgh gets a matchup against Adam Wainwright, who has struggled in limited starts this season and hasn’t posted an xFIP or SIERA below 4.00 since 2015. It’s a bit surprising Pittsburgh is the underdog in this game.
Bet 3 units on Pittsburgh ML to win 3.5 units (+115)
Philadelphia Phillies
Jake Arrieta (-145)
I will continue to bet against Erick Fedde until he shows MLB promise. He has thrown five or more innings in six starts this season, allowing three or more earned runs in each starts. He has also struggled on the road, where he owns an 8.10 ERA through two starts. Furthermore, he has allowed eight earned runs in only 11 innings to the Philadelphia Phillies this season. Philadelphia has been struggling recently, but they will return home tonight, where they own a 62.3% win rate. Jake Arrieta will be taking the mound for the Phillies tonight. He has thrown well at home, where he owns a 4-3 record with a 3.27 ERA through 13 home starts. He has struggled at times against the Washington Nationals this season, but he should be provided with plenty of run support against a team who owns a win rate below 50% on the road this season.
Bet 2 units on Philadelphia -1.5 RL to win 3 units (+150)
New York Yankees
J.A. Happ (-180)
J.A. Happ has been throwing at a high level since joining the New York Yankees. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in eight of his nine starts, while allowing one or fewer earned runs in five of those starts. He gets a great matchup against the Minnesota Twins, who have struggled to display any power against left-handed pitching this season. Minnesota is also 2-4, while averaging only three runs per game over the last week of play. New York has also been struggling a bit, but a matchup with Kyle Gibson should cure those struggles. Gibson owns a 3-5 record with a 4.02 ERA through 12 home starts. He has also allowed three or more earned runs in six of his last nine starts, including his last two at home. The only worry in this game is that Gibson has already thrown well against New York once this season.
Bet 3 units on New York Yankees -1.5 RL to win 2.7 units (-110)
Parlay Bet
Parlay 2 units on Philadelphia ML, New York Mets ML, Kansas City ML, and Los Angeles Angels ML to win 11.56 units (+578)
