Welcome everyone to our Lineup Optimizer strategy article for 5/8/22. This is a new article I will be doing daily that discusses the stacks and players the optimizer is popping for today’s slate. We are very blessed to have out optimizer powered by SaberSim — and you can get access by clicking HERE. Let’s get into it…
Overview
Happy Mother’s Day to all the moms out there, we have a solid slate on tap for this Sunday afternoon. I’m once again going to focus on my preferred stack for small-field, single entry GPPs today. Whatever the next big slate is, we will do a three-max entry build but mostly these contests in the picture below are what I play and have the most success in so that’s usually what I’m building for. Let’s dive into the simulations!
Top Stacks
There’s only one game on this slate with weather concerns, so naturally it has to be a game I want a pitcher from. I have Gerrit Cole and Chris Paddack ranked above the field for today, and I’m planning on locking them in for this 500 lineup build. That being said, if we approach lock and the game looks too sketchy to play, I will either bump Paddack up to Alek Manoah or drop him all the way down to Jordan Lyles. Depending on what stack I end up on, a double-spend at SP may be 100% possible. If not, I don’t think Jordan Lyles is a great pitcher BUT it’s a good match-up and he feels weirdly too cheap. He should be in the $6,000 range but DK put him below $5K? He just posted 20 DK points in his last start and he’s more than capable of double-digit fantasy points here which is all you can ask for at that price tag. Let’s run the sims…
Wow, that’s bad. It’s insane how bad offense has gotten in the MLB when we have a decent-sized slate and there’s only one team with a good team total and that’s Houston. Houston is likely to be the highest-owned stack for that reason alone, so I’m going to avoid them. I’m also likely to avoid the Yankees against Dane Dunning. Dunning is someone I like to attack with power, but he throws a lot of sinkers and the Yankees lineup just doesn’t have good numbers vs that pitch. In fact, now that I see how bad their lineup is as a whole vs sinkers, I’m going to bump Dane Dunning up in my SP rankings. If the weather gets too crazy to play Chris Paddakc — I’m going to drop him down to Dunning rather than Lyles.
Minnesota and Cincinnati are the two stacks I agree with most here. We’ve attacked Daulton Jefferies all season, the only issue being that weather and wind blowing in. So, it looks like a Sunday Reds stack is in order for me. Their offense is terrible, yes, but so are most of these teams we are stacking today. Zach Thompson is one of the worst pitchers in baseball, so I’ll definitely take my chance with the Reds. He throws a ton of cutters — and overall this lineup has success vs that pitch. All of Brandon Drury, Tyler Naquin, Mike Moustakas and Colin Moran have above-average offensive numbers vs cutters. To top it off, this stack is so cheap we will easily be able to spend up for for Alek Monoah as our SP2 and still fill in with an expensive two or three man stack around them.
Conclusion
Overall, it’s a bad offensive day and I’m going to stack the Reds here with a double spend-up at pitcher. Good luck to everyone today!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)
