Monkey Knife Fight Home Run Derby:
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Sean Reid-Foley is scheduled to take the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays tonight, and despite having a rather successful 2019 campaign thus far, he struggles with the fly ball. In the last 15 days, Reid-Foley has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 92 MPH, a fly ball rate over 50%, and a hard hit rate over 30%. J.A. Happ is on the mound for the New York Yankees, which bodes well for the Blue Jays’ right-handed power bats. It is difficult to avoid Aaron Judge tonight, but based on the advanced metrics, it makes more sense to roster both Gio Urshela and Mike Tauchman. Urshela is expected to hit third, and he is averaging 0.041 HR/AB. In the last 15 days, he has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 99 MPH, a fly ball rate over 40%, and a hard hit rate over 60%. That has translated to 6 home runs in his last 10 games. Tauchman is hitting over .300 in his last 10 games with 5 home runs and 15 RBIs. There is absolutely no reason to avoid him tonight, especially against the right-handed Reid-Foley. He enters tonight’s game with a 0.057 ISO differential, and despite batting eighth, he is a lock. In the last 15 days, he has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 93 MPH, a fly ball rate just under 50%, and a hard hit rate over 40%. Finally, round out the lineup with Bo Bichette. Bichette has 4 home runs in his last 10 games, and he gets positive splits tonight. He is hitting leadoff, so he should see an extra at-bat, and over the last 15 days, his advanced metrics are solid. He owns an average exit velocity on batted balls of 94 MPH, a fly ball rate over 30%, and a hard hit rate over 40%. One of these three recommendations should find success tonight.
Recommended Batters: Gio Urshela, Mike Tauchman, Bo Bichette
Home Run Prop Bet:
Mike Tauchman (+330) – New York Yankees – OF
Mike Tauchman’s odds to hit a home run tonight are far too wide. He has been playing better than any other New York Yankee, and his advanced metrics are great. Despite hitting down in the lineup, he has a great opportunity to cash in tonight against Sean Reid-Foley.
PrizePicks Over/Under:
N/A
Currently, PrizePicks does not offer a chance to wager on any of these three recommendations. Check back later, as their website is consistently updated throughout the day.
*Odds are from MyBookie. They continually update available prop bets on their prop builder, so odds should be released closer to the start of the contests. If you do not see the recommended player available, he will likely become available later in the day, and odds will be updated in the article when that happens.*
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