Monkey Knife Fight Home Run Derby:
Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels
Tonight, the Dodgers and Angels battle it out for supremacy of Los Angeles. Griffin Canning is taking the mound for the Angels, and he enters tonight’s game with a 1.6 HR/9 rate. Vegas has this game set at 9 total runs, and Hyun-jin Ryu is a -160 betting favorite, giving the Dodgers an implied run total of 5.1. The weather is expected to approach 80 degrees, and the ball should carry. In the last 15 days, Canning is sporting a fly ball rate over 45% and a hard hit rate just under 40%. The Dodgers should be able to capitalize. When constructing a roster, start with Max Muncy. He is expected to hit second tonight and is hitting 0.075 HR/AB. In the last 15 days, he has an average batted ball distance of 227 feet, an average exit velocity on those batted balls of 94 MPH, a fly ball rate just under 40%, and a hard hit rate over 40%. Muncy also has positive power splits against right-handed pitching. Next, Cody Bellinger is facing off against a right-handed pitcher, so he is an obvious lock. Entering tonight’s game with 0.13 ISO and 0.112 wOBA differentials, Bellinger will look to add to his 20 home run total on the season. There is no reason to get into advanced metrics here. Bellinger is a must play. Finally, look toward David Freese to round out the roster. Freese is expected to hit sixth tonight, and in his last 10 games, Freese is hitting .400 with two home runs and five RBIs. In the last 15 days, his advanced metrics back up his recent successes, posting an average batted ball distance of 260 feet, an average exit velocity of 95 MPH, a 36% fly ball rate, and 40% hard hit rate. One of these three should be able to gift a fan a home run ball.
Recommended Batters: Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger, David Freese
Home Run Prop Bet:
Cody Bellinger (+220) – Los Angeles Dodgers – OF
If Cody Bellinger is facing off against a right-handed pitcher, and the Los Angeles Dodgers have good circumstances for hitting home runs, it is impossible to avoid the ‘Bellinger bet’. Max Muncy is another good solo bet on MyBookie, but Bellinger is the recommendation here.
PrizePicks Over/Under:
N/A
Currently, PrizePicks does not offer a chance to wager on any of these three recommendations. Check back later, as their website is consistently updated throughout the day.
*Odds are from MyBookie. They continually update available prop bets on their prop builder, so odds should be released closer to the start of the contests. If you do not see the recommended player available, he will likely become available later in the day, and odds will be updated in the article when that happens.*
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