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Manny Machado has been ice cold recently, posting a .179 average with a .231 slugging percentage and a .487 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns two extra-base hits, one RBI, and one stolen base in those games. He has recorded 39% hard hit and 51% ground ball rates with a 92 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Machado gets a terrible matchup against Trevor Bauer, and he brings -0.133 wOBA and -0.148 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching into this game. The only plus for Machado is playing in a hitter friendly stadium, but that isn’t enough to change this play.
Keston Hiura is on the opposite end of things. Over his last 10 games, he’s hitting for a .372 average with a .698 slugging percentage and a 1.147 OPS. He boasts eight extra-base hits (three home runs), eight RBIs, and one stolen base over that span. Furthermore, Hiura has scored double-digit fantasy points in seven of his last nine games. He enters this game with 36% hard hit and 51% fly ball rates to go along with a 92 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Hiura gets a plus matchup against Dakota Hudson, and he possesses 0.157 wOBA and 0.192 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching. He’s expected to hit fourth in the Milwaukee Brewers lineup, giving him ample opportunities to score fantasy points.
Play $25 on Manny Machado UNDER 6.5 fantasy points and Keston Hiura OVER 7.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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