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Hunter Dozier has been playing relatively well recently. He’s only hitting .225 over his last 10 games, but he also owns a .500 slugging percentage and a .779 OPS over that span. He has posted six extra-base hits (two home runs) and nine RBIs in those games, as well. Dozier is also on home run watch, as he boasts 58% hard hit and 48% fly ball rates to go along with a 94 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. He gets a matchup against Zach Plesac, and Dozier enters this game with 0.071 wOBA and 0.172 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching. He’s hitting fourth in the Kansas City Royals lineup, and this total is set at bit low for his advanced metrics.
Brandon Woodruff has looked elite this season, posting a 3.38 xFIP and a 3.55 SIERA through 17 starts. He has held his opponents to 33.1% fly ball and 11.6% HR/FB rates. Woodruff has also posted a 20.2% soft hit rate, while giving up only a 36.1% hard hit rate. Most importantly, Woodruff boasts 29.1% strikeout and 11.6% swinging strike rates this season. He gets a plus matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, who rank around an average team on this slate in strikeouts per at-bat, while also ranking slightly below average in team wOBA. Woodruff is a -114 favorite in a game set at 9 runs, and this total is set at bit too low for how well he has been throwing this season.
Play $25 on Hunter Dozier OVER 7.5 fantasy points and Brandon Woodruff OVER 35.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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