Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – MLB Player Props 7/24/19 - DFS Karma
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Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – MLB Player Props 7/24/19

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Vlad Guerrero Jr. has been playing well recently, posting a .297 average with a .405 slugging percentage and a .771 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns two extra-base hits (one home run) and six RBIs in those games. With that being said, he gets one of the worst matchups on the slate against Shane Bieber. Bieber enters this game with a 3.15 xFIP and a 3.32 SIERA. He has held right-handed batters to a .222 average with a .374 slugging percentage and a .268 wOBA this season. Guerrero is hitting fourth in the Toronto Blue Jays lineup, which is likely to result in an extra at-bat for him, but I’m betting under on a young player against a high-level pitcher on this slate.

Trea Turner is in an elite spot tonight. He has found success recently, recording a .279 average with a .512 slugging percentage and a .852 OPS over his last 10 games. He boasts seven extra-base hits (one home run), four RBIs, and three stolen bases in those contests. Turner has posted a 50% hard hit rate with a 94 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. He’s also hitting for a .315/.532/.907 line at home this season. Turner gets an elite matchup against Kyle Freeland, who has struggled terribly throughout the 2019 season. Turner also brings a 0.026 wOBA differential against left-handed pitching into this game. He’s expected to lead off for what should be one of the best offenses on the slate, and this total is surprisingly low.

Play $25 on Vlad Guerrero Jr. UNDER 6.0 fantasy points and Trea Turner OVER 8.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)

 

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