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It was fun riding the Josh Bell train for the weeks that he was on fire, but he has cooled off a bit recently, and we can take advantage of his total, which hasn’t yet adjusted. He’s still hitting .311 with a .556 slugging percentage and a .910 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns seven extra-base hits (two home runs) and six RBIs in those games. While those numbers are far from bad, he has scored eight or fewer fantasy points in six of his last seven games. Most importantly, Bell’s numbers have dropped over the last 15 days. Over that span, he owns 38% hard hit and 27% fly ball rates to go along with a 91 MPH exit velocity. He also gets a tough matchup against Max Fried, and Bell enters this game with -0.076 wOBA and -0.061 ISO differentials against left-handed pitching. He makes a high upside option on a nightly basis, but he should be avoided on this slate.
Christian Yelich’s total is getting out of hand, but it’s impossible to play the under here. He’ll be returning home, where he’s hitting for a .395 average with a 1.092 slugging percentage and a 1.597 OPS through 22 games. He also owns 19 extra-base hits (17 home runs), 34 RBIs, and 2 steals in those games. Overall, he’s averaging a ridiculous 17.2 fantasy points per game in Milwaukee this season. He has been playing extremely recently, as well, as he boasts a 51% hard hit and 45% fly ball rate to go along with a 95 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Yelich gets a great matchup against Pablo Lopez, and he brings 0.031 wOBA and 0.063 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching into this game. Any time you can get Yelich against a weak right-handed pitcher at home, you have to grab the over on that play.
Play $25 on Josh Bell UNDER 8.5 fantasy points and Christian Yelich OVER 10 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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