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This is an extremely high total for Nicholas Castellanos, but when Ben and I are both on the same player, I’m willing to hit the over. He has been playing well recently, posting a .279 average with a .465 slugging percentage and a .754 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns six extra-base hits (one home run) and six RBIs over that span. He has also been a significantly more consistent and powerful option on the road this season, and he’ll be playing in the Baltimore Orioles hitter friendly stadium. He gets a plus matchup against John Means, and Castellanos brings 0.09 wOBA and 0.012 ISO differentials against left-handed pitching into this game. He’s hitting third in the Detroit lineup, and he makes a strong option on this slate.
Ronald Acuna Jr. hasn’t been playing well recently, as he is only hitting .222 with a .444 slugging percentage and a .730 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns four extra-base hits (three home runs), three RBIs, and two steals over that span, as well. With that being said, Acuna is averaging a healthy 9.3 fantasy points per game in those contests. He has also posted a 43% hard hit rate with a 93 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Acuna is leading off for the Atlanta Braves, and they feature one of the highest projected offenses on the slate against Anibal Sanchez. Even when he struggles, he finds ways to score fantasy points, and I expect him to find success in this particular matchup.
Play $25 on Nicholas Castellanos OVER 8.5 fantasy points and Ronald Acuna Jr. OVER 8.0 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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